Narrative
Full Description
Project narrative
In 2017, China Eximbank and the Government of Laos signed a preferential buyer's credit (PBC) agreement worth approximately $143.65 million for the 230kV Pak Ngeuy-Pha Oudom Transmission Line and Associated Substation Project. The loan’s estimated borrowing terms included a 19.0904-year maturity, a 5.3751-year grace period, and a 2.5981% interest rate. The borrower was expected to use the proceeds of the loan to partially finance a $169 million commercial (EPC) contract between State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC) and Électricité du Laos (EDL). The purpose of the project was to construct a 94.1-kilometer 230-kilovolt Pak Ngeuy–Pha Oudom transmission line, a 21.9-kilometer 115-kilovolt Pak Ngeuy–Nampen transmission line, a new 230-kilovolt substation in Pha Oudom, and an expanded 230-kilovolt substation in Pak Ngeuy. SGCC was the EPC contractor responsible for implementation. The project commenced in March 2016 and was completed on July 27, 2018. At the end of July 2018, the substation in Pha Oudom conducted live commissioning and was handed over to EDL in August 2018. The well-coordinated transfer enabled Nam Tha River No. 1 Hydropower Plant to produce electricity for surrounding provinces such as Bokeo and Luang Namtha. There are multiple indications that the China Eximbank loan for this project may have financially underperformed vis-a-vis the original expectations of the lender. In 2020, the Laotian authorities urgently sought debt relief from China Eximbank. At that time, the gross reserves of the Bank of Laos stood at only 1.5 months of import cover and credit rating agencies warned of a high default probability. In 2020, China Eximbank agreed to reprofile multiple loan agreements that it had previously signed with the Government of Laos (as captured via Record ID#96464). These debt service payment deferrals lasted for approximately 4 years (2020 and 2023) and provided approximately $1.892 billion of cash flow relief ($1.422 billion in deferred principal payments and $470 million in deferred interest payments). Deferred principal and interest repayments in 2020 were worth $202 million. Deferred principal and interest payments were worth $426 million in 2021. Deferred principal and interest payments were worth $594 million in 2022. Deferred principal and interest payments were worth $670 million in 2023. Additionally, according to a report published by the World Bank in April 2022, ‘[t]he energy sector, mostly represented by Électricité du Laos (EDL), accounted for over 30 percent of total PPG debt in 2021. […] EDL’s debt service obligations [were] still unsustainable [at the time], with future debt service accounting for about two fifths of EDL’s total operating revenue.’ In September 2020, a Chinese state-owned enterprise purchased a major public infrastructure asset in Laos—a large part of the country’s electricity transmission grid—from EDL as part of an apparent debt-for-equity swap. China Southern Power Grid Co. and EDL established a joint venture known as Électricité du Laos Transmission Company Limited (EDLT). China Southern Power Grid Co. purchased a 90% ownership stake in EDLT in exchange for a $600 million fee (equity infusion). Then, in March 2021, EDLT signed a 25-year concession agreement, which made it responsible for management of the country’s high-voltage transmission network above 230 kilovolts. Independent observers suggested at the time that EDL would likely use the $600 million upfront payment from China Southern Power Grid Co. to service its outstanding debts to Chinese creditors, although this has not been independently confirmed.
Staff comments
1. This project is also known as the 230kV Pak Ngeuy-Pha Oudom Transmission Line and Associated Substation Project. The Chinese project title is 巴俄—帕乌东输变电项目 or 老挝230千伏巴俄-帕乌东输变电项目. 2. The precise face value of the PBC is unknown. However, per China Eximbank’s policy of using PBCs to finance up to 85% of the cost of commercial (EPC) contracts, AidData assumes that the face value of the PBC for the 230kV Nabong-Nam Ngum 1-Hinheup Power Transmission Line Project is equivalent to 85% of $169 million. In the Overseas Development Finance Dataset that Boston University’s Global Development Policy Center published in December 2020, it identifies the face value of the loan that supported this project as $169 million. However, this estimate appears to be based on the full EPC contract value. 3. According to the World Bank's Debtor Reporting System (DRS), the weighted average maturity of all official sector lending from Chinese creditors to government and government-guaranteed borrowing institutions in Laos was 19.0904 years in 2017. AidData estimates the maturity of the China Eximbank loan that supported the 230kV Pak Ngeuy-Pha Oudom Transmission Line and Associated Substation Project by using this figure. See https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/uno1hf2pjg3nfz78h72c6/Private-and-Official-Sector-PRC-Borrowings-and-Borrowing-Terms-of-Lao-PDR-September-2024.xlsx?rlkey=s7eas067aykllu1lik074l5x5&dl=0 4. According to the World Bank's Debtor Reporting System (DRS), the weighted average grace period of all official sector lending from Chinese creditors to government and government-guaranteed borrowing institutions in Laos was 5.3751 years in 2017. AidData estimates the grace period of the China Eximbank loan that supported the 230kV Pak Ngeuy-Pha Oudom Transmission Line and Associated Substation Project by using this figure. See https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/uno1hf2pjg3nfz78h72c6/Private-and-Official-Sector-PRC-Borrowings-and-Borrowing-Terms-of-Lao-PDR-September-2024.xlsx?rlkey=s7eas067aykllu1lik074l5x5&dl=0 5. According to the World Bank's Debtor Reporting System (DRS), the weighted average interest rate of all official sector lending from Chinese creditors to government and government-guaranteed borrowing institutions in Laos was 2.5981% in 2017. AidData estimates the interest rate of the China Eximbank loan that supported the 230kV Pak Ngeuy-Pha Oudom Transmission Line and Associated Substation Project by using this figure. See https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/uno1hf2pjg3nfz78h72c6/Private-and-Official-Sector-PRC-Borrowings-and-Borrowing-Terms-of-Lao-PDR-September-2024.xlsx?rlkey=s7eas067aykllu1lik074l5x5&dl=0